Challenges in Constraining Climate Sensitivity: Should IPCC AR5’s Lower Bound Be Revised Upward? Guest blog

نویسنده

  • John Fasullo
چکیده

s (Vol. 1, p. 05). 8. Trenberth, K. E., & Fasullo, J. T. (2013). An apparent hiatus in global warming?. Earth's Future.9. Shindell, D. T. (2014). Inhomogeneous forcing and transient climate sensitivity. Nature Climate

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

WEB APPENDIX Modeling Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment of Climate Change: A Multi-Model Comparison

This appendix explains the procedure for developing the pdf for climate sensitivity. The study began by reviewing the five probability density functions for equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) used in the IPCC AR5 that draw upon multiple lines of evidence. These are Aldrin et al. (2012), Libardoni and Forest (2013), Olsen et al. (2012), Annan and Hargreaves (2006), and Hegerl et al. (2006). T...

متن کامل

Earth’s Climate Sensitivity: Apparent Inconsistencies in Recent Assessments

Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) and forcing of Earth's climate system over the industrial era have been re-examined in two new assessments: the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and a study by A. Otto and others (Nature Geosci., 2013). The ranges of these quantities given in these assessments and also in the Fourth (2007) IPCC A...

متن کامل

Authorship in IPCC AR5 and its implications for content: climate change and Indigenous populations in WGII

This essay examines the extent to which we can expect Indigenous Knowledge, understanding, and voices on climate change ('Indigenous content') to be captured in WGII of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), based on an analysis of chapter authorship. Reviewing the publishing history of 309 chapter authors (CAs) to WGII, we document 9 (2.9%) to have published on climate change and Indigenous p...

متن کامل

Enhanced mesoscale climate projections in TAR and AR5 IPCC scenarios: a case study in a Mediterranean climate (Araucanía Region, south central Chile)

Climate change scenarios are computed on a large scale, not accounting for local variations presented in historical data and related to human scale. Based on historical records, we validate a baseline (1962-1990) and correct the bias of A2 and B2 regional projections for the end of twenty-first century (2070-2100) issued from a high resolution dynamical downscaled (using PRECIS mesoscale model,...

متن کامل

Submission to UK Parliamentary Inquiry into IPCC 5

0. Executive Summary • The IPCC was created on the assumption that manmade warming was a problem and was given the narrow focus of investigating it rather than all causes of climate change. • The key finding of AR5 has no supporting basis because temperatures have not risen as models predicted • The IPCC's expressions of uncertainty are misleading • AR5 does not seriously discuss other hypothes...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2014